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Horizon ScannerAvailable

Scan for emerging signals, weak indicators, and early shifts that could change the strategic landscape around a topic.

Typical uses

  • Track weak signals before they become mainstream
  • Monitor change around a country, issue, or sector
  • Seed scenario work with fresh external developments

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Scenario Planning Delphi MethodAvailable

Structure expert input over multiple rounds to surface disagreement, convergence, and uncertainty around future scenarios.

Typical uses

  • Compare expert judgments on future risks or opportunities
  • Refine scenario assumptions with distributed participants
  • Test where consensus exists and where it breaks down

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Cross Impact AnalysisAvailable

Map how variables, shocks, and decisions influence one another so you can understand compounding effects across a system.

Typical uses

  • Test interdependencies between trends or decisions
  • Surface second-order effects across a system
  • Compare how one change amplifies or dampens another

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BackcasterAvailable

Start from a future outcome and work backward to identify the milestones, capabilities, and shifts required to reach it.

Typical uses

  • Build a pathway from a preferred future to present action
  • Sequence milestones toward a long-term transformation
  • Translate vision work into concrete strategic steps

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Futures WheelAvailable

Explore direct and indirect consequences of a change, event, or disruption by tracing first-, second-, and third-order effects.

Typical uses

  • Map ripple effects from one emerging change
  • Support workshop discussion around consequences
  • Stress test whether a disruption creates new risks or opportunities

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Causal Layered AnalysisAvailable

Unpack an issue across surface symptoms, structural causes, worldviews, and deeper myths to expose what must shift for transformation.

Typical uses

  • Move beyond symptoms into system-level causes
  • Compare competing narratives about the same issue
  • Design more transformative responses to entrenched problems

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Wind TunnelAvailable

Stress-test a policy, strategy, or plan against alternative futures to see where it is resilient, brittle, or incomplete.

Typical uses

  • Test a plan against multiple scenarios
  • Find no-regret moves and fragile assumptions
  • Pressure test strategic choices before execution

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RoadmappingAvailable

Sequence the path from present conditions to a target future, organizing phases, dependencies, and critical decisions over time.

Typical uses

  • Lay out phases toward a strategic destination
  • Coordinate dependencies across a long-term effort
  • Turn a future ambition into an ordered implementation path

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Policy GamingAvailable

Simulate a contested policy environment with actors, incentives, and pressure points to understand likely moves and reactions.

Typical uses

  • Explore how stakeholders might react under stress
  • Test policy choices in a dynamic decision environment
  • Prepare for negotiation, crisis, or high-uncertainty decisions

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